Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Olimpia to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceCD Olimpia or draw ✓86% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11% · fair 9.17
CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm preview and prediction
The match
CD Olimpia host Lobos Upnfm in the Liga Nacional on Monday 3 August, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. CD Olimpia are 1st with 33 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Lobos Upnfm sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CD Olimpia's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Mixco 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lobos Upnfm's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat CD Motagua 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
CD Olimpia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished CD Olimpia 0–0 Lobos Upnfm.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for CD Olimpia and 0.9 for Lobos Upnfm. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Olimpia 67%, draw 19%, Lobos Upnfm 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Olimpia to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: CD Olimpia 2–0 Lobos Upnfm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Olimpia67%fair 1.49 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @5.25
Lobos Upnfm14%fair 7.27 · @9.00
3.12Expected goals
2.22CD Olimpia xG
0.90Lobos Upnfm xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: CD Olimpia 2.2 – 0.9 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our pick is CD Olimpia to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm?
On our numbers CD Olimpia have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lobos Upnfm 14%.
How many goals will there be in CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our predicted score is CD Olimpia 2–0 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm?
CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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