SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
SSVg Velbert to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.87 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.87Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSSVg Velbert to win ✓64% · @1.87
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.27
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis preview and prediction
The match
The Oberliga Niederrhein sees SSVg Velbert take on SC St. Tönis on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). SSVg Velbert are 2nd with 28 points from 12 games (in the top four), while SC St. Tönis sit 4th on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
SSVg Velbert's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat KFC Uerdingen 05 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
SC St. Tönis's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to BW Dingden 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.5 for SSVg Velbert and 1.4 for SC St. Tönis. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was SSVg Velbert to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.87, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SSVg Velbert 2–1 SC St. Tönis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SSVg Velbert64%fair 1.56 · @1.87
Draw14%fair 7.02 · @4.25
SC St. Tönis22%fair 4.64 · @2.94
3.91Expected goals
2.52SSVg Velbert xG
1.38SC St. Tönis xG
69%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: SSVg Velbert 2.5 – 1.4 SC St. Tönis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SSVg Velbert to win✓
64%
1.56
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.27
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.73
Half-time result
SSVg Velbert ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SSVg Velbert / FT SSVg Velbert✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Form
SSVg Velbert – last 6
WWWWLL
2 Oct
@ KFC Uerdingen 05
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs BW Dingden
5–1
W
20 Sep
@ Meerbusch
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Büderich
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Sonsbeck
2–4
L
28 Aug
vs Schonnebeck
3–5
L
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
SC St. Tönis – last 6
LWLWWD
2 Oct
@ BW Dingden
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Büderich
4–0
W
18 Sep
@ Schonnebeck
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Wuppertaler SV
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.
3–1
W
4 Sep
@ Germania Ratingen
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SSVg Velbert and SC St. Tönis.
What is the prediction for SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis?
Our pick is SSVg Velbert to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.87.
Who will win SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis?
On our numbers SSVg Velbert have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 14% and SC St. Tönis 22%.
How many goals will there be in SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis?
Our predicted score is SSVg Velbert 2–1 SC St. Tönis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis?
SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis (Oberliga Niederrhein) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
