Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Bayer Leverkusen to win @ 2.78 – our chance 48% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBayer Leverkusen to win ✗48% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Nottingham Forest take on Bayer Leverkusen on Wednesday 12 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT).
Form guide
Nottingham Forest's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Barcelona 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bayer Leverkusen's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sevilla 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bayer Leverkusen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Nottingham Forest and 1.7 for Bayer Leverkusen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Bayer Leverkusen to win at 2.78 – 48% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nottingham Forest31%fair 3.19 · @2.34
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.55
Bayer Leverkusen48%fair 2.08 · @2.78
3.10Expected goals
1.35Nottingham Forest xG
1.74Bayer Leverkusen xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 1.4 – 1.7 Bayer Leverkusen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayer Leverkusen to win✗
48%
2.08
2.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen✗
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.76
–
Form
Nottingham Forest – last 6
LLLWDW
8 Aug
@ Barcelona
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Udinese
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ Sporting CP
1–4
L
31 Jul
@ Portimonense
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Guimaraes
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Blackburn
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bayer Leverkusen – last 6
WWWWWL
8 Aug
vs Sevilla
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rot-Weiß Essen
3–0
W
29 Jul
vs Genk
4–0
W
25 Jul
@ Kickers Offenbach
3–1
W
18 Jul
@ SF Baumberg
7–0
W
22 Apr
vs Bayern München
0–2
L
3.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nottingham Forest and Bayer Leverkusen.
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen?
On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bayer Leverkusen 48%.
How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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