Newcastle host Everton in the Friendlies Clubs on Wednesday 12 August, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Murrayfield.
Form guide
Newcastle's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Valencia 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Everton's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to VfB Stuttgart 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 6. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Newcastle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Newcastle and 1.4 for Everton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Newcastle 1–1 Everton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle38%fair 2.64 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Everton40%fair 2.52 · @2.42
2.86Expected goals
1.41Newcastle xG
1.45Everton xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–28%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Newcastle 1.4 – 1.4 Everton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Everton to win✓
40%
2.52
2.42
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Everton / FT Everton✓
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.79
–
Form
Newcastle – last 6
WLDWLW
8 Aug
@ Valencia
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Bristol City
1–4
L
25 Jul
@ Gateshead
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Darlington 1883
3–0
W
24 May
@ Fulham
0–2
L
17 May
vs West Ham
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Everton – last 6
LWLDWL
8 Aug
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Hamburger SV
2–1
W
28 Jul
@ Stoke City
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Bolton
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Dundee
4–0
W
24 May
@ Tottenham
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Everton.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Everton 40%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Everton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Everton?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–1 Everton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Everton?
Newcastle vs Everton (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Murrayfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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