Kepezspor host Balıkesirspor in the 3. Lig Group 2 on Wednesday 11 November, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Kepezspor are 14th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Balıkesirspor sit 3rd on 23 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kepezspor's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Eskişehirspor 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Balıkesirspor's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Gaziemirspor 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Balıkesirspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Kepezspor and 2.0 for Balıkesirspor. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Kepezspor 1–1 Balıkesirspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kepezspor20%fair 4.88 · @4.60
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.74
Balıkesirspor59%fair 1.71 · @1.57
3.09Expected goals
1.11Kepezspor xG
1.98Balıkesirspor xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Kepezspor 1.1 – 2.0 Balıkesirspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Kepezspor
Balıkesirspor
Attack vs 3. Lig Group 2 average
-35%
+66%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.18
2.03
Our own ratings from every 3. Lig Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Balıkesirspor to win✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Double chance
Balıkesirspor or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.87
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.26
Half-time result
Balıkesirspor ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Balıkesirspor / FT Balıkesirspor✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.10
–
Form
Kepezspor – last 6
LWWLLL
7 Nov
@ Eskişehirspor
0–1
L
31 Oct
vs Uşak Spor
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Alanya 1221 FK
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Bucaspor 1928
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Nilüfer Belediye
0–1
L
7 Oct
@ Anadolu Üniversitesi
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Balıkesirspor – last 6
WDWWDW
7 Nov
vs Gaziemirspor
3–1
W
1 Nov
@ Bursa Yıldırımspor
1–1
D
28 Oct
vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Altay
5–0
W
18 Oct
@ Etimesgut SK
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Akşehirspor
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kepezspor and Balıkesirspor.
What is the prediction for Kepezspor vs Balıkesirspor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Kepezspor vs Balıkesirspor?
On our numbers Kepezspor have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Balıkesirspor 59%.
How many goals will there be in Kepezspor vs Balıkesirspor?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kepezspor vs Balıkesirspor?
Our predicted score is Kepezspor 1–1 Balıkesirspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Kepezspor vs Balıkesirspor?
Kepezspor vs Balıkesirspor (3. Lig Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
