Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye prediction & analysis
71%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.44
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.18 – our chance 50% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarsiyaka to win51% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.95
Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye preview and prediction
The match
Karsiyaka host Nilüfer Belediye in the 3. Lig Group 2 on Wednesday 11 November, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT). Karsiyaka are 7th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Nilüfer Belediye sit 1st on 22 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Karsiyaka's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Bigaspor 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nilüfer Belediye's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Denizli İYG 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Karsiyaka and 1.1 for Nilüfer Belediye. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karsiyaka 51%, draw 23%, Nilüfer Belediye 27%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.51.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.18 – 50% on our numbers against 46% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Karsiyaka 1–1 Nilüfer Belediye. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karsiyaka51%fair 1.97 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.55
Nilüfer Belediye27%fair 3.76 · @3.18
2.35Expected goals
1.28Karsiyaka xG
1.07Nilüfer Belediye xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Karsiyaka 1.3 – 1.1 Nilüfer Belediye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Karsiyaka
Nilüfer Belediye
Attack vs 3. Lig Group 2 average
+12%
+24%
Goals conceded vs average
-41%
-46%
Our expected goals here
0.90
0.96
Our own ratings from every 3. Lig Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karsiyaka to win
51%
1.97
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.71
1.51
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
2.18 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karsiyaka / FT Karsiyaka
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.95
–
Form
Karsiyaka – last 6
WWDWDW
7 Nov
vs Bigaspor
2–0
W
1 Nov
@ Denizli İYG
6–0
W
27 Oct
@ Boluspor
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Söke 1970
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Ayvalikgucu
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Anadolu Üniversitesi
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nilüfer Belediye – last 6
DWWDDW
7 Nov
vs Denizli İYG
0–0
D
1 Nov
@ Söke 1970
7–1
W
28 Oct
@ Ankara Demirspor
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Ayvalikgucu
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Anadolu Üniversitesi
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Kepezspor
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karsiyaka and Nilüfer Belediye.
What is the prediction for Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye?
On our numbers Karsiyaka have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nilüfer Belediye 27%.
How many goals will there be in Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Our predicted score is Karsiyaka 1–1 Nilüfer Belediye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye (3. Lig Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
