Value bet: Nilüfer Belediye to win @ 2.75 – our chance 44% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNilüfer Belediye to win ✓44% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 30.22
Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye preview and prediction
The match
Gaziemirspor host Nilüfer Belediye in the 3. Lig Group 2 on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT). Gaziemirspor are 10th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Nilüfer Belediye sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Gaziemirspor's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Karsiyaka 1–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nilüfer Belediye's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Bursa Yıldırımspor 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Gaziemirspor and 1.4 for Nilüfer Belediye. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gaziemirspor 36%, draw 20%, Nilüfer Belediye 44%.
Value angle: Nilüfer Belediye to win at 2.75 – 44% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Gaziemirspor 1–2 Nilüfer Belediye. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gaziemirspor36%fair 2.80 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
Nilüfer Belediye44%fair 2.27 · @2.75
2.58Expected goals
1.20Gaziemirspor xG
1.38Nilüfer Belediye xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gaziemirspor 1.2 – 1.4 Nilüfer Belediye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nilüfer Belediye to win✓
44%
2.27
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nilüfer Belediye / FT Nilüfer Belediye✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
3%
30.22
–
Form
Gaziemirspor – last 5
WWWLL
26 Sep
@ Karsiyaka
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Denizli İYG
5–0
W
16 Sep
@ Bucaspor 1928
4–0
W
12 Sep
@ Söke 1970
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Ayvalikgucu
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Nilüfer Belediye – last 6
DWWWWL
27 Sep
vs Bursa Yıldırımspor
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Altay
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Etimesgut SK
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Akşehirspor
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Kartal Bulvarspor
2–1
W
28 Mar
@ Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gaziemirspor and Nilüfer Belediye.
What is the prediction for Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
On our numbers Gaziemirspor have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nilüfer Belediye 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Our predicted score is Gaziemirspor 1–2 Nilüfer Belediye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye (3. Lig Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
