Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarsiyaka to win ✓47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.51
Kepezspor vs Karsiyaka preview and prediction
The match
Karsiyaka travel to face Kepezspor in the 3. Lig Group 2 on Saturday 3 October (13:00 WAT). Kepezspor are 13th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Karsiyaka sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Kepezspor's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Denizli İYG 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Karsiyaka's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Gaziemirspor 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Kepezspor and 1.3 for Karsiyaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 45%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Kepezspor 0–1 Karsiyaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kepezspor32%fair 3.15 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Karsiyaka47%fair 2.11 · @2.05
2.28Expected goals
0.98Kepezspor xG
1.30Karsiyaka xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Kepezspor 1.0 – 1.3 Karsiyaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karsiyaka to win✓
47%
2.11
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karsiyaka / FT Karsiyaka✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.51
–
Form
Kepezspor – last 6
DDWLLL
27 Sep
@ Denizli İYG
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Söke 1970
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Karaman FK
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ Ayvalikgucu
1–4
L
6 Sep
vs Anadolu Üniversitesi
0–2
L
25 Apr
@ Batman Petrolspor
0–6
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Karsiyaka – last 6
LDDLLD
26 Sep
vs Gaziemirspor
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Bursa Yıldırımspor
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Altay
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Etimesgut SK
0–1
L
28 Apr
vs Ayvalikgucu
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ Ayvalikgucu
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kepezspor and Karsiyaka.
What is the prediction for Kepezspor vs Karsiyaka?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Kepezspor vs Karsiyaka?
On our numbers Kepezspor have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karsiyaka 47%.
How many goals will there be in Kepezspor vs Karsiyaka?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kepezspor vs Karsiyaka?
Our predicted score is Kepezspor 0–1 Karsiyaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Kepezspor vs Karsiyaka?
Kepezspor vs Karsiyaka (3. Lig Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
