Value bet: Jadran LP to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJadran LP to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Sesvete vs Jadran LP preview and prediction
The match
Sesvete host Jadran LP in the First NL on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Sesvete are 10th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Jadran LP sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sesvete's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Croatia Zmijavci 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Jadran LP's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Zrinjski 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Jadran LP arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Sesvete and 1.3 for Jadran LP. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Jadran LP to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Sesvete 1–1 Jadran LP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sesvete37%fair 2.72 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.80
Jadran LP38%fair 2.66 · @3.10
2.57Expected goals
1.28Sesvete xG
1.29Jadran LP xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sesvete 1.3 – 1.3 Jadran LP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jadran LP to win✗
38%
2.66
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jadran LP / FT Jadran LP✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Sesvete – last 6
LLWWLL
27 Sep
@ Croatia Zmijavci
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Dinamo Zagreb U21
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Segesta Sisak
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Mladost Ždralovi
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Dugopolje
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jadran LP – last 6
LWWWLD
2 Oct
@ Zrinjski
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Kustosija
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Vukovar
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Dubrava Zagreb
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sesvete and Jadran LP.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sesvete vs Jadran LP?
On our numbers Sesvete have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Jadran LP 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sesvete vs Jadran LP?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sesvete vs Jadran LP?
Our predicted score is Sesvete 1–1 Jadran LP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sesvete vs Jadran LP?
Sesvete vs Jadran LP (First NL) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
