Value bet: HNK Cibalia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMladost Ždralovi to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Mladost Ždralovi vs HNK Cibalia preview and prediction
The match
The First NL sees Mladost Ždralovi take on HNK Cibalia on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT). Mladost Ždralovi are 1st with 23 points from 12 games (top of the table), while HNK Cibalia sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Mladost Ždralovi's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Dinamo Zagreb U21 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HNK Cibalia's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Dugopolje 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Mladost Ždralovi 1–0 HNK Cibalia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Mladost Ždralovi and 0.8 for HNK Cibalia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: HNK Cibalia to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Mladost Ždralovi 0–0 HNK Cibalia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mladost Ždralovi39%fair 2.59 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
HNK Cibalia37%fair 2.69 · @3.10
1.64Expected goals
0.83Mladost Ždralovi xG
0.81HNK Cibalia xG
49%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–016%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Mladost Ždralovi 0.8 – 0.8 HNK Cibalia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mladost Ždralovi vs HNK Cibalia?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Mladost Ždralovi vs HNK Cibalia?
On our numbers Mladost Ždralovi have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HNK Cibalia 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mladost Ždralovi vs HNK Cibalia?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mladost Ždralovi vs HNK Cibalia?
Our predicted score is Mladost Ždralovi 0–0 HNK Cibalia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Mladost Ždralovi vs HNK Cibalia?
Mladost Ždralovi vs HNK Cibalia (First NL) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
