Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
US Mondorf-les-bains or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: US Mondorf-les-bains to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUS Mondorf-les-bains to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceUS Mondorf-les-bains or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains preview and prediction
The match
Résidence Walferdange host US Mondorf-les-bains in the National Division on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Résidence Walferdange are 8th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while US Mondorf-les-bains sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Résidence Walferdange's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Swift Hesperange 3–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
US Mondorf-les-bains's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to UNA Strassen 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
US Mondorf-les-bains arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.2 for Résidence Walferdange and 2.2 for US Mondorf-les-bains. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Résidence Walferdange 19%, draw 22%, US Mondorf-les-bains 60%.
Safer route: US Mondorf-les-bains or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.60.
Value angle: US Mondorf-les-bains to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was US Mondorf-les-bains or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Résidence Walferdange 1–2 US Mondorf-les-bains. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Résidence Walferdange19%fair 5.32 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.25
US Mondorf-les-bains60%fair 1.68 · @1.80
3.36Expected goals
1.17Résidence Walferdange xG
2.19US Mondorf-les-bains xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Résidence Walferdange 1.2 – 2.2 US Mondorf-les-bains expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Mondorf-les-bains to win✗
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
US Mondorf-les-bains or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
US Mondorf-les-bains ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Mondorf-les-bains / FT US Mondorf-les-bains✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.26
–
Form
Résidence Walferdange – last 6
WLWLWL
13 Sep
@ Swift Hesperange
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs UNA Strassen
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Etzella Ettelbruck
5–0
W
23 Aug
vs Atert Bissen
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ UN Kaerjeng 97
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Progres Niederkorn
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
US Mondorf-les-bains – last 6
LWWWWW
13 Sep
vs UNA Strassen
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Atert Bissen
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Progres Niederkorn
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ AS Jeunesse Esch
3–1
W
16 Aug
vs F91 Dudelange
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Victoria Rosport
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Résidence Walferdange and US Mondorf-les-bains.
What is the prediction for Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Our pick is US Mondorf-les-bains or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
On our numbers Résidence Walferdange have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and US Mondorf-les-bains 60%.
How many goals will there be in Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Our predicted score is Résidence Walferdange 1–2 US Mondorf-les-bains, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains (National Division) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
