Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg preview and prediction
The match
The National Division sees Progres Niederkorn take on Racing FC Union Luxembourg on Wednesday 16 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Progres Niederkorn are 6th with 22 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Racing FC Union Luxembourg sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Progres Niederkorn's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Wiltz 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat AS Jeunesse Esch 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for Progres Niederkorn and 1.6 for Racing FC Union Luxembourg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Progres Niederkorn 43%, draw 22%, Racing FC Union Luxembourg 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Progres Niederkorn 1–1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Progres Niederkorn43%fair 2.30 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.00
Racing FC Union Luxembourg34%fair 2.92 · @2.80
3.36Expected goals
1.79Progres Niederkorn xG
1.57Racing FC Union Luxembourg xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Progres Niederkorn 1.8 – 1.6 Racing FC Union Luxembourg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Progres Niederkorn to win✗
43%
2.30
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Progres Niederkorn / FT Progres Niederkorn✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
Progres Niederkorn – last 6
WWLLWW
12 Sep
@ Wiltz
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs US Rumelange
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ US Mondorf-les-bains
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs UNA Strassen
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Atert Bissen
4–0
W
9 Aug
@ Résidence Walferdange
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Racing FC Union Luxembourg – last 6
WWDLWW
12 Sep
vs AS Jeunesse Esch
5–1
W
6 Sep
@ F91 Dudelange
3–1
W
30 Aug
vs Victoria Rosport
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ FC Differdange 03
0–3
L
16 Aug
vs Swift Hesperange
5–0
W
9 Aug
@ Etzella Ettelbruck
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progres Niederkorn and Racing FC Union Luxembourg.
What is the prediction for Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
On our numbers Progres Niederkorn have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Racing FC Union Luxembourg 34%.
How many goals will there be in Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
Our predicted score is Progres Niederkorn 1–1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg (National Division) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
