Value bet: America-RN to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica-RN to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.13
Gama vs America-RN preview and prediction
The match
America-RN travel to face Gama in the Serie D on Sunday 26 July (20:00 WAT).
Form guide
Gama's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to America-RN 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
America-RN's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Gama 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
America-RN arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 July 2026, finished America-RN 1–0 Gama.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Gama and 1.2 for America-RN. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gama 32%, draw 29%, America-RN 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Value angle: America-RN to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gama 1–1 America-RN. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gama32%fair 3.13 · @2.70
Draw29%fair 3.51 · @2.50
America-RN40%fair 2.53 · @2.80
2.30Expected goals
1.07Gama xG
1.23America-RN xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Gama 1.1 – 1.2 America-RN expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Gama vs America-RN?
On our numbers Gama have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 29% and America-RN 40%.
How many goals will there be in Gama vs America-RN?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gama vs America-RN?
Our predicted score is Gama 1–1 America-RN, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gama vs America-RN?
Gama vs America-RN (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
CSA2
São Luiz1
ABC4
Luverdense1
ASA5
Cianorte1
Ferroviario1
Goiatuba EC2
Treze1
Sao Jose0