Serie D · Brazil
ABC vs Luverdense prediction & analysis
ABC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: ABC 1.5 – 0.4 Luverdense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
ABC are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 11% for Luverdense.
ABC have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Luverdense have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.5 for ABC, 0.4 for Luverdense). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (22%), 2–0 (17%), 0–0 (15%).
In their last 1 meeting, ABC have won 0, Luverdense have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is ABC to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.52.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | ABC to win ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | ABC or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 87% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT ABC / FT ABC ✓ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 22% | 4.47 | – |
Form
ABC – last 6
| 18 Jul | @ Luverdense | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Jul | vs Águia de Marabá | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Jul | @ Águia de Marabá | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jun | vs Altos | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jun | @ Altos | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | vs Maguary PE | 1–0 | W |
Luverdense – last 6
| 18 Jul | vs ABC | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Jul | @ Guaporé | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Jul | vs Guaporé | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | vs Ceilândia | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jun | @ Ceilândia | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Jun | vs Inhumas | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
| 18 Jul 2026 | Luverdense v ABC | 0–0 |
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Sao Jose0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for ABC vs Luverdense?
Our pick is ABC to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win ABC vs Luverdense?
On our numbers ABC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Luverdense 11%.
How many goals will there be in ABC vs Luverdense?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
When is ABC vs Luverdense?
ABC vs Luverdense (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.