Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Caen to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaen to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceCaen or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Caen vs Gobelins preview and prediction
The match
Caen host Gobelins in the Friendlies Clubs on Wednesday 15 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Caen's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Rennes 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gobelins's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Amiens 4–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Caen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished Gobelins 0–3 Caen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.1 for Caen and 1.2 for Gobelins. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caen 58%, draw 23%, Gobelins 19%.
Safer route: Caen or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Caen to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Caen or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Caen 2–1 Gobelins. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caen58%fair 1.73 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Gobelins19%fair 5.19 · @3.50
3.37Expected goals
2.15Caen xG
1.22Gobelins xG
52%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Caen 2.1 – 1.2 Gobelins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Caen
Gobelins
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+27%
+38%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.82
1.05
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Caen or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Caen vs Gobelins?
On our numbers Caen have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gobelins 19%.
How many goals will there be in Caen vs Gobelins?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caen vs Gobelins?
Our predicted score is Caen 2–1 Gobelins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Caen vs Gobelins?
Caen vs Gobelins (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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