Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAarhus to win ✓60% · @1.40
Double chanceAarhus or draw ✓80% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Aarhus vs AC Horsens preview and prediction
The match
Aarhus host AC Horsens in the Friendlies Clubs on Wednesday 15 July, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Aarhus's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Union St. Gilloise 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
AC Horsens's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to FC Copenhagen 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AC Horsens arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Aarhus and 1.2 for AC Horsens. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aarhus 60%, draw 20%, AC Horsens 20%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Aarhus 2–1 AC Horsens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aarhus60%fair 1.66 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.50
AC Horsens20%fair 5.09 · @5.50
3.19Expected goals
2.01Aarhus xG
1.18AC Horsens xG
51%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Aarhus 2.0 – 1.2 AC Horsens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Aarhus
AC Horsens
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+9%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-24%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.65
1.08
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aarhus to win✓
60%
1.66
1.40
Double chance
Aarhus or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Aarhus ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aarhus / FT Aarhus✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
Aarhus – last 6
LWDWDL
11 Jul
@ Union St. Gilloise
1–2
L
5 Jul
vs Motherwell
4–0
W
27 Jun
vs Viborg
1–1
D
17 May
vs Viborg
6–2
W
23 Apr
@ FC Nordsjaelland
1–1
D
20 Apr
@ FC Midtjylland
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AC Horsens – last 6
LWDWWW
11 Jul
@ FC Copenhagen
2–3
L
4 Jul
vs Hobro
2–0
W
27 Jun
@ FC Nordsjaelland
1–1
D
31 May
vs Kolding IF
1–0
W
25 May
@ Lyngby
2–0
W
9 May
vs Hillerød
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aarhus and AC Horsens.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
On our numbers Aarhus have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AC Horsens 20%.
How many goals will there be in Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
Our predicted score is Aarhus 2–1 AC Horsens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
Aarhus vs AC Horsens (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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