Oldham host Leeds United U21 in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday 13 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Boundary Park. Oldham are 4th with 0 points from 3 games, while Leeds United U21 sit 4th on 0 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Oldham's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Accrington ST 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Leeds United U21's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Stockport County U21 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Leeds United U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.9 for Oldham and 1.1 for Leeds United U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oldham 71%, draw 20%, Leeds United U21 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Oldham to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Oldham 2–1 Leeds United U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oldham71%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.60
Leeds United U219%fair 10.88 · @5.50
4.00Expected goals
2.87Oldham xG
1.13Leeds United U21 xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Oldham 2.9 – 1.1 Leeds United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oldham to win✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
Oldham or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Oldham ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oldham / FT Oldham✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Form
Oldham – last 6
DLWLLL
10 Oct
vs Accrington ST
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Salford City
1–4
L
22 Sep
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Rochdale
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Chesterfield
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Tranmere
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leeds United U21 – last 6
WLWWDW
9 Oct
vs Stockport County U21
3–1
W
6 Oct
@ Tamworth
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Barnsley
4–3
W
19 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Middlesbrough U21
4–4
D
8 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
3–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Leeds United U21.
What is the prediction for Oldham vs Leeds United U21?
Our pick is Oldham to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Oldham vs Leeds United U21?
On our numbers Oldham have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Leeds United U21 9%.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Leeds United U21?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Leeds United U21?
Our predicted score is Oldham 2–1 Leeds United U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Oldham vs Leeds United U21?
Oldham vs Leeds United U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Notts County5
Nottingham Forest U211
Cheltenham2
Tottenham Hotspur U212
Walsall3
Fulham U212
Reading0
Chelsea U212
Gillingham4
Brighton U213