EFL Trophy · England · Priestfield Stadium
Gillingham vs Brighton U21 prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gillingham 2.0 – 2.0 Brighton U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Gillingham and Brighton U21 on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Gillingham have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Brighton U21 have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 4.0 goals (2.0 for Gillingham, 2.0 for Brighton U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (7%), 1–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.42.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gillingham to win ✓ | 41% | 2.46 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time result | Gillingham ahead at half-time ✓ | 34% | 2.94 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gillingham / FT Gillingham ✓ | 25% | 4.01 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 7% | 13.47 | – |
Form
Gillingham – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Rotherham | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Newport County | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ York | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Cambridge United | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Bristol Rovers | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Tranmere | 2–0 | W |
Brighton U21 – last 6
| 9 Oct | vs Sheffield United U21 | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Liverpool U21 | 1–5 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Paris Saint-Germain U21 | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Leicester City U21 | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ West Ham United U21 | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Arsenal U21 | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Brighton U21.
EFL Trophy table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colchester | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Wycombe | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Gillingham | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Fulham U21 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
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What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Brighton U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gillingham vs Brighton U21?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brighton U21 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Brighton U21?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
When is Gillingham vs Brighton U21?
Gillingham vs Brighton U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.