National League South · England · PlainmoorTorquay vs Maidstone Utd prediction & analysis
Torquay or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: Torquay to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Torquay 1.9 – 1.1 Maidstone Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Torquay hold the edge on home soil with a 56% chance of winning, against 21% for Maidstone Utd.
Torquay have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Maidstone Utd have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 for Torquay, 1.1 for Maidstone Utd). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Torquay or draw at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is better than our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Torquay to win at 1.95 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torquay to win ✗ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Torquay or draw ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Half-time result | Torquay ahead at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torquay / FT Torquay ✗ | 35% | 2.84 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.10 | – |
Form
Torquay – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Oxford City | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Slough Town | 5–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Tonbridge Angels | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Billericay Town | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs AFC Stoneham | 6–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Dorking Wanderers | 2–2 | D |
Maidstone Utd – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Maidenhead | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Horsham | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Truro City | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Cray Wanderers | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Cray Wanderers | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Braintree | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torquay and Maidstone Utd.
National League South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 16 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  Farnham Town | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Horsham | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 |  Weston-super-Mare | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | -22 | 7 |
More National League South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?
Our pick is Torquay or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?
On our numbers Torquay have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maidstone Utd 21%.
How many goals will there be in Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?
Torquay vs Maidstone Utd (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Plainmoor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.