Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Chelmsford City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Chelmsford City to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelmsford City to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceChelmsford City or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels preview and prediction
The match
Tonbridge Angels travel to face Chelmsford City in the National League South on Saturday 24 October (15:00 WAT). Chelmsford City are 8th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Tonbridge Angels sit 10th on 24 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chelmsford City's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Wimborne Town 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tonbridge Angels's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Maidenhead 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chelmsford City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Chelmsford City and 0.7 for Tonbridge Angels. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelmsford City 63%, draw 22%, Tonbridge Angels 16%.
Safer route: Chelmsford City or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Chelmsford City to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chelmsford City or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chelmsford City 1–0 Tonbridge Angels. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelmsford City63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Tonbridge Angels16%fair 6.39 · @3.40
2.45Expected goals
1.74Chelmsford City xG
0.71Tonbridge Angels xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Chelmsford City 1.7 – 0.7 Tonbridge Angels expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelmsford City to win✗
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Chelmsford City or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Chelmsford City ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.66
–
Form
Chelmsford City – last 6
LWWDWD
17 Oct
@ Wimborne Town
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Chesham United
5–0
W
3 Oct
@ Brackley Town
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Horsham
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Canvey Island
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Hampton & Richmond
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tonbridge Angels – last 6
WLLWDL
10 Oct
@ Maidenhead
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Torquay
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Ebbsfleet United
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Ramsgate
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
1–1
D
8 Sep
vs Maidstone Utd
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelmsford City and Tonbridge Angels.
What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our pick is Chelmsford City or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels?
On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tonbridge Angels 16%.
How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 1–0 Tonbridge Angels, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels?
Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
