National League South · England · Stonebridge Road StadiumEbbsfleet United vs Maidenhead prediction & analysis
Ebbsfleet United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ebbsfleet United 1.7 – 0.8 Maidenhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ebbsfleet United are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 18% for Maidenhead.
Ebbsfleet United have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Maidenhead have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded. Ebbsfleet United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Ebbsfleet United, 0.8 for Maidenhead). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 2 meetings, Ebbsfleet United have won 2, Maidenhead have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Ebbsfleet United to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is close to our fair price of 1.65.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ebbsfleet United to win ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.55 |
| Double chance | Ebbsfleet United or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United ✓ | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.12 | – |
Form
Ebbsfleet United – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Horsham | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Weston-super-Mare | 6–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs AFC Totton | 5–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Hampton & Richmond | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Folkestone Invicta | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Sholing | 1–2 | L |
Maidenhead – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Maidstone Utd | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Tonbridge Angels | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Chesham United | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Ebbsfleet United | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Billericay Town | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Torquay | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
| 19 Sep 2026 | Maidenhead v Ebbsfleet United | 1–3 |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Maidenhead v Ebbsfleet United | 2–3 |
National League South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 16 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  Farnham Town | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Horsham | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 |  Weston-super-Mare | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | -22 | 7 |
More National League South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?
Our pick is Ebbsfleet United to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?
On our numbers Ebbsfleet United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maidenhead 18%.
How many goals will there be in Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?
Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stonebridge Road Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.