Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Weston-super-Mare or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Weston-super-Mare to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWeston-super-Mare to win ✗64% · @1.95
Double chanceWeston-super-Mare or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.12
Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta preview and prediction
The match
Weston-super-Mare host Folkestone Invicta in the National League South on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Weston-super-Mare are 13th with 21 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Folkestone Invicta sit 15th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Weston-super-Mare's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Farnham Town 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Folkestone Invicta's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Ebbsfleet United 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Weston-super-Mare arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Weston-super-Mare and 0.8 for Folkestone Invicta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Weston-super-Mare or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Weston-super-Mare to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Weston-super-Mare or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Weston-super-Mare 1–0 Folkestone Invicta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Weston-super-Mare64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.20
Folkestone Invicta16%fair 6.26 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.93Weston-super-Mare xG
0.82Folkestone Invicta xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Weston-super-Mare 1.9 – 0.8 Folkestone Invicta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Weston-super-Mare to win✗
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Weston-super-Mare or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Weston-super-Mare ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Weston-super-Mare / FT Weston-super-Mare✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.12
–
Form
Weston-super-Mare – last 6
LDDWWL
26 Sep
@ Farnham Town
2–3
L
22 Sep
@ Wimborne Town
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Wimborne Town
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Dagenham & Redbridge
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs AFC Totton
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Maidstone Utd
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Folkestone Invicta – last 6
LLLLDL
6 Oct
@ Ebbsfleet United
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Salisbury
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dover
2–4
L
12 Sep
vs Farnham Town
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Horsham
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Torquay
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Weston-super-Mare and Folkestone Invicta.
What is the prediction for Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta?
Our pick is Weston-super-Mare or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta?
On our numbers Weston-super-Mare have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Folkestone Invicta 16%.
How many goals will there be in Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta?
Our predicted score is Weston-super-Mare 1–0 Folkestone Invicta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta?
Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
