Chesham United vs Chelmsford City prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Chelmsford City to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelmsford City to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Chesham United vs Chelmsford City preview and prediction
The match
Chesham United host Chelmsford City in the National League South on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at The Meadow. Chesham United are 21st with 11 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Chelmsford City sit 8th on 25 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chesham United's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Real Bedford 4–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Chelmsford City's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Brackley Town 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Chesham United and 1.4 for Chelmsford City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chesham United 36%, draw 23%, Chelmsford City 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Chelmsford City to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Chesham United 1–1 Chelmsford City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesham United36%fair 2.76 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Chelmsford City41%fair 2.43 · @2.62
2.74Expected goals
1.32Chesham United xG
1.42Chelmsford City xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Chesham United 1.3 – 1.4 Chelmsford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelmsford City to win✓
41%
2.43
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Form
Chesham United – last 6
WLWWLL
3 Oct
vs Real Bedford
4–3
W
26 Sep
vs Maidenhead
0–4
L
19 Sep
vs Ware
7–2
W
12 Sep
@ Horsham
4–1
W
8 Sep
vs Billericay Town
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Truro City
1–3
L
2.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chelmsford City – last 6
WDWDDD
3 Oct
@ Brackley Town
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Horsham
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Canvey Island
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Hampton & Richmond
1–1
D
8 Sep
@ Dorking Wanderers
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Salisbury
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Chelmsford City.
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chelmsford City 41%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?
Our predicted score is Chesham United 1–1 Chelmsford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?
Chesham United vs Chelmsford City (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
