National League South · England · The Fusion Aviation Community StadiumHorsham vs Maidstone Utd prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
Value bet: Horsham to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Horsham 1.2 – 1.4 Maidstone Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Maidstone Utd shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 35% for Horsham.
Horsham have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Maidstone Utd have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Horsham, 1.4 for Maidstone Utd). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.74. For a bigger price, Horsham to win at 3.10 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Maidstone Utd to win ✓ | 44% | 2.30 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Maidstone Utd / FT Maidstone Utd ✓ | 24% | 4.18 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.23 | – |
Form
Horsham – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Plymouth Parkway | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Chelmsford City | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Walton & Hersham | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Chesham United | 1–4 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ Folkestone Invicta | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Dagenham & Redbridge | 1–1 | D |
Maidstone Utd – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Truro City | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Cray Wanderers | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Cray Wanderers | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Braintree | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ Tonbridge Angels | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Weston-super-Mare | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Horsham and Maidstone Utd.
National League South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 16 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  Farnham Town | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Horsham | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 |  Weston-super-Mare | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | -22 | 7 |
More National League South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Horsham vs Maidstone Utd?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Horsham vs Maidstone Utd?
On our numbers Horsham have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maidstone Utd 44%.
How many goals will there be in Horsham vs Maidstone Utd?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Horsham vs Maidstone Utd?
Horsham vs Maidstone Utd (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.