Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
SV Babelsberg 03 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSV Babelsberg 03 to win ✗57% · @1.82
Double chanceSV Babelsberg 03 or draw ✗79% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.47
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 preview and prediction
The match
SV Babelsberg 03 travel to face Tasmania Berlin in the Regionalliga Nordost on Friday 16 October (18:00 WAT). Tasmania Berlin are 16th with 11 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while SV Babelsberg 03 sit 12th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tasmania Berlin's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to FSV Zwickau 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
SV Babelsberg 03's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Lokomotive Leipzig 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
SV Babelsberg 03 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.2 for Tasmania Berlin and 2.1 for SV Babelsberg 03. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Safer route: SV Babelsberg 03 or draw (79%) at 1.23.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.47.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SV Babelsberg 03 or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Tasmania Berlin 1–2 SV Babelsberg 03. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tasmania Berlin21%fair 4.79 · @3.31
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.87
SV Babelsberg 0357%fair 1.75 · @1.82
3.30Expected goals
1.20Tasmania Berlin xG
2.09SV Babelsberg 03 xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tasmania Berlin 1.2 – 2.1 SV Babelsberg 03 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SV Babelsberg 03 to win✗
57%
1.75
1.82
Double chance
SV Babelsberg 03 or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.53
1.47
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.50
Half-time result
SV Babelsberg 03 ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SV Babelsberg 03 / FT SV Babelsberg 03✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.25
–
Form
Tasmania Berlin – last 6
LLDLLL
9 Oct
@ FSV Zwickau
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1–5
L
19 Sep
@ BFC Preussen
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs BSG Chemie Leipzig
2–5
L
10 Sep
@ BFC Dynamo
1–3
L
2 Sep
@ Hallescher FC
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SV Babelsberg 03 – last 6
DWLWDL
11 Oct
vs Lokomotive Leipzig
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Luckenwalde
3–2
W
19 Sep
vs Hertha BSC II
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Chemnitzer FC
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Hallescher FC
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ FSV Zwickau
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tasmania Berlin and SV Babelsberg 03.
What is the prediction for Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
Our pick is SV Babelsberg 03 or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
On our numbers Tasmania Berlin have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SV Babelsberg 03 57%.
How many goals will there be in Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
Our predicted score is Tasmania Berlin 1–2 SV Babelsberg 03, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
