FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 16 Oct 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✗67% · @1.57

Double chanceFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw ✓86% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau preview and prediction

The match

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt host FSV Zwickau in the Regionalliga Nordost on Friday 16 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are 1st with 37 points from 16 games (top of the table), while FSV Zwickau sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Chemnitzer FC 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.

FSV Zwickau's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Tasmania Berlin 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished FSV Zwickau 2–1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and 1.0 for FSV Zwickau. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 67%, draw 19%, FSV Zwickau 14%.
Safer route: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2–1 FSV Zwickau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt67%fair 1.49 · @1.57

Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.90

FSV Zwickau14%fair 7.33 · @4.60

3.46Expected goals

2.42FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt xG

1.04FSV Zwickau xG

64%Both score

67%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%

2–09%

1–18%

3–18%

1–08%

3–07%

From our goals model: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2.4 – 1.0 FSV Zwickau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✗	67%	1.49	1.57 ▲
Double chance	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw ✓	86%	1.16	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.57	1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	55%	1.83	–
Half-time result	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt ahead at half-time ✗	50%	1.98	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt / FT FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt ✗	45%	2.21	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.45	–

Form

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt – last 6

LWDWWD

11 Oct	@ Chemnitzer FC	1–3	L
26 Sep	@ Lokomotive Leipzig	4–3	W
19 Sep	vs Erzgebirge Aue	2–2	D
15 Sep	@ Hertha BSC II	2–1	W
11 Sep	vs RSV Eintracht	5–0	W
29 Aug	vs BFC Preussen	1–1	D

2.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

FSV Zwickau – last 6

WDLLDW

9 Oct	vs Tasmania Berlin	2–0	W
27 Sep	@ Hertha BSC II	1–1	D
18 Sep	vs Hallescher FC	1–3	L
15 Sep	vs Altglienicke	1–2	L
12 Sep	@ BSG Chemie Leipzig	2–2	D
29 Aug	vs SV Babelsberg 03	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	16	11	4	1	+29	37
2	Chemnitzer FC	16	10	3	3	+18	33
3	BFC Dynamo	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Hallescher FC	16	8	7	1	+11	31
5	Altglienicke	16	9	3	4	+12	30
6	Erzgebirge Aue	16	9	3	4	+7	30
7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	16	8	3	5	+10	27
8	Greifswalder FC	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Lokomotive Leipzig	16	6	6	4	+3	24
10	Magdeburg II	16	6	3	7	-1	21
11	FSV Zwickau	16	5	4	7	-9	19
12	SV Babelsberg 03	16	4	4	8	-12	16
13	BFC Preussen	16	3	6	7	-3	15
14	BSG Chemie Leipzig	16	3	5	8	-7	14
15	Hertha BSC II	16	2	6	8	-15	12
16	Tasmania Berlin	16	3	2	11	-24	11
17	RSV Eintracht	16	2	3	11	-20	9
18	Luckenwalde	16	2	2	12	-20	8

Team

Pts

+29

+18

+12

+11

+12

+10

-1

-9

-12

-3

-7

-15

-24

-20

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

Our pick is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

On our numbers FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FSV Zwickau 14%.

How many goals will there be in FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

Our predicted score is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2–1 FSV Zwickau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes