Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Buchbach to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBuchbach to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceBuchbach or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Buchbach vs Augsburg II preview and prediction
The match
Buchbach host Augsburg II in the Regionalliga Bayern on Tuesday 13 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Buchbach are 3rd with 29 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Augsburg II sit 7th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Buchbach's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Vilzing 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Augsburg II's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Nürnberg II 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Buchbach arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished Buchbach 0–4 Augsburg II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Buchbach and 1.0 for Augsburg II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buchbach 64%, draw 22%, Augsburg II 15%.
Safer route: Buchbach or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Buchbach to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Buchbach or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Buchbach 2–1 Augsburg II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buchbach64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.70
Augsburg II15%fair 6.86 · @3.80
3.28Expected goals
2.26Buchbach xG
1.02Augsburg II xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Buchbach 2.3 – 1.0 Augsburg II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Buchbach vs Augsburg II?
Our pick is Buchbach or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Buchbach vs Augsburg II?
On our numbers Buchbach have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Augsburg II 15%.
How many goals will there be in Buchbach vs Augsburg II?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buchbach vs Augsburg II?
Our predicted score is Buchbach 2–1 Augsburg II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Buchbach vs Augsburg II?
Buchbach vs Augsburg II (Regionalliga Bayern) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
