Regionalliga Bayern · GermanyAubstadt vs Illertissen prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Illertissen to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Aubstadt 1.3 – 1.8 Illertissen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Illertissen shade it despite being away from home – 50% to win, against 28% for Aubstadt.
Aubstadt have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Illertissen have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. Illertissen come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.3 for Aubstadt, 1.8 for Illertissen). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Aubstadt have won 0, Illertissen have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.61. For a bigger price, Illertissen to win at 2.15 is our value angle (50% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Illertissen to win ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 38% | 2.61 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Illertissen / FT Illertissen ✗ | 30% | 3.29 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.54 | – |
Form
Aubstadt – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Landsberg | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Memmingen | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Augsburg II | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Bayern München II | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | @ Bayreuth | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs SpVgg Unterhaching | 2–3 | L |
Illertissen – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs TSV 1860 München | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Vilzing | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Memmingen | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | @ FC Schweinfurt 05 | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Nürnberg II | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Eltersdorf | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
| 6 Apr 2026 | Illertissen v Aubstadt | 1–0 |
Regionalliga Bayern table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memmingen | 18 | +13 | 39 |
| 2 |  TSV 1860 München | 17 | +14 | 33 |
| 3 |  Buchbach | 17 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  SpVgg Unterhaching | 17 | +6 | 28 |
| 5 |  Illertissen | 17 | +11 | 26 |
| 6 |  Bayreuth | 17 | +8 | 25 |
| 7 |  Augsburg II | 17 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 |  Bayern München II | 16 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  Nürnberg II | 17 | +5 | 24 |
| 10 |  Schwaben Augsburg | 17 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 |  Wacker Burghausen | 17 | +8 | 23 |
| 12 |  Vilzing | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 13 |  Eichstätt | 17 | -7 | 21 |
| 14 |  FC Schweinfurt 05 | 17 | -10 | 20 |
| 15 |  Eltersdorf | 17 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ansbach | 17 | -16 | 16 |
| 17 |  Aubstadt | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 18 |  Greuther Fürth II | 17 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 |  Landsberg | 17 | -15 | 13 |
More Regionalliga Bayern predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aubstadt vs Illertissen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Aubstadt vs Illertissen?
On our numbers Aubstadt have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Illertissen 50%.
How many goals will there be in Aubstadt vs Illertissen?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Aubstadt vs Illertissen?
Aubstadt vs Illertissen (Regionalliga Bayern) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.