Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Kayserispor to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKayserispor to win ✗65% · @1.85
Double chanceKayserispor or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.73
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees Pendikspor take on Kayserispor on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Pendik Stadium. Pendikspor are 16th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Kayserispor sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pendikspor's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Bursaspor 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Kayserispor's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Batman Petrolspor 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kayserispor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Pendikspor and 2.1 for Kayserispor. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Kayserispor to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kayserispor or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pendikspor 0–2 Kayserispor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pendikspor15%fair 6.89 · @3.90
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Kayserispor65%fair 1.55 · @1.85
2.91Expected goals
0.86Pendikspor xG
2.05Kayserispor xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Pendikspor 0.9 – 2.1 Kayserispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kayserispor to win✗
65%
1.55
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Kayserispor or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Kayserispor ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kayserispor / FT Kayserispor✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.73
–
Form
Pendikspor – last 6
LLLDDD
19 Oct
@ Bursaspor
0–2
L
13 Oct
vs Vanspor FK
1–2
L
9 Oct
@ Sivasspor
1–4
L
2 Oct
vs Galatasaray
3–3
D
20 Sep
vs Bodrum FK
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Boluspor
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kayserispor – last 6
DWWWWW
18 Oct
vs Batman Petrolspor
2–2
D
14 Oct
@ Antalyaspor
4–0
W
10 Oct
vs Manisa F.K.
3–2
W
20 Sep
@ Mardin 1969
1–0
W
14 Sep
vs İstanbulspor
4–0
W
7 Sep
@ Esenler Erokspor
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pendikspor and Kayserispor.
What is the prediction for Pendikspor vs Kayserispor?
Our pick is Kayserispor or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pendikspor vs Kayserispor?
On our numbers Pendikspor have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kayserispor 65%.
How many goals will there be in Pendikspor vs Kayserispor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pendikspor vs Kayserispor?
Our predicted score is Pendikspor 0–2 Kayserispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pendikspor vs Kayserispor?
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Pendik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
