Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Keçiörengücü to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBursaspor to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor preview and prediction
The match
Bursaspor travel to Aktepe Stadium in the 1. Lig on Sunday 25 October (17:00 WAT) to face Keçiörengücü. Keçiörengücü are 6th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Bursaspor sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Keçiörengücü's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bursaspor's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Pendikspor 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Keçiörengücü and 1.5 for Bursaspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Keçiörengücü to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Keçiörengücü 1–1 Bursaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Keçiörengücü34%fair 2.91 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Bursaspor44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
2.86Expected goals
1.33Keçiörengücü xG
1.53Bursaspor xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Keçiörengücü 1.3 – 1.5 Bursaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bursaspor to win✓
44%
2.29
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Form
Keçiörengücü – last 6
WDWDDW
19 Oct
@ Fatih Karagümrük
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs Iğdır FK
0–0
D
9 Oct
@ Bodrum FK
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Sivasspor
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Vanspor FK
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Sarıyer
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bursaspor – last 6
WWLWDW
19 Oct
vs Pendikspor
2–0
W
15 Oct
@ Muğlaspor
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Mardin 1969
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Batman Petrolspor
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Esenler Erokspor
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Manisa F.K.
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Keçiörengücü and Bursaspor.
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?
On our numbers Keçiörengücü have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bursaspor 44%.
How many goals will there be in Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?
Our predicted score is Keçiörengücü 1–1 Bursaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?
Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Aktepe Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
