Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBursaspor to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceBursaspor or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.47
Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees Muğlaspor take on Bursaspor on Thursday 15 October, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu. Muğlaspor are 11th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Bursaspor sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Muğlaspor's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Bursaspor's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Mardin 1969 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Muğlaspor and 1.7 for Bursaspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Bursaspor to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Muğlaspor 0–1 Bursaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Muğlaspor15%fair 6.84 · @4.80
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.60
Bursaspor60%fair 1.66 · @1.62
2.39Expected goals
0.70Muğlaspor xG
1.69Bursaspor xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: Muğlaspor 0.7 – 1.7 Bursaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bursaspor to win✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Double chance
Bursaspor or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.47
–
Form
Muğlaspor – last 6
DDDDWW
11 Oct
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Iğdır FK
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Sivasspor
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Vanspor FK
2–2
D
1 Sep
@ Ümraniyespor
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bursaspor – last 6
LWDWWW
11 Oct
vs Mardin 1969
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Batman Petrolspor
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Esenler Erokspor
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Manisa F.K.
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs İstanbulspor
4–0
W
29 Aug
@ Kayserispor
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muğlaspor and Bursaspor.
What is the prediction for Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?
Our pick is Bursaspor to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?
On our numbers Muğlaspor have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bursaspor 60%.
How many goals will there be in Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?
Our predicted score is Muğlaspor 0–1 Bursaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?
Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
