Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Fatih Karagümrük or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Fatih Karagümrük to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFatih Karagümrük to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceFatih Karagümrük or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.31
Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees Fatih Karagümrük take on Muğlaspor on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium. Fatih Karagümrük are 9th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Muğlaspor sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fatih Karagümrük's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Esenler Erokspor 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Muğlaspor's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Iğdır FK 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Fatih Karagümrük and 0.7 for Muğlaspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fatih Karagümrük 64%, draw 21%, Muğlaspor 15%.
Safer route: Fatih Karagümrük or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Fatih Karagümrük to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fatih Karagümrük or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Muğlaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fatih Karagümrük64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
Muğlaspor15%fair 6.48 · @4.33
2.38Expected goals
1.71Fatih Karagümrük xG
0.67Muğlaspor xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Fatih Karagümrük 1.7 – 0.7 Muğlaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fatih Karagümrük to win✗
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Fatih Karagümrük or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Fatih Karagümrük ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fatih Karagümrük / FT Fatih Karagümrük✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.31
–
Form
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
WDLDDW
19 Sep
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Manisa F.K.
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Batman Petrolspor
3–4
L
2 Sep
vs Kayserispor
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ İstanbulspor
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Bursaspor
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Muğlaspor – last 6
DDDWWD
18 Sep
vs Iğdır FK
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Sivasspor
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Vanspor FK
2–2
D
1 Sep
@ Ümraniyespor
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Bodrum FK
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fatih Karagümrük and Muğlaspor.
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor?
Our pick is Fatih Karagümrük or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor?
On our numbers Fatih Karagümrük have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Muğlaspor 15%.
How many goals will there be in Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor?
Our predicted score is Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Muğlaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor?
Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
