Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBursaspor to win ✗64% · @1.65
Double chanceBursaspor or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.90
Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969 preview and prediction
The match
Mardin 1969 travel to Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu in the 1. Lig on Sunday 11 October (17:00 WAT) to face Bursaspor. Bursaspor are 1st with 32 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Mardin 1969 sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Bursaspor's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Batman Petrolspor 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Mardin 1969's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Kayserispor 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Bursaspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Bursaspor and 0.6 for Mardin 1969. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bursaspor 64%, draw 23%, Mardin 1969 13%.
Safer route: Bursaspor or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bursaspor to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bursaspor 1–0 Mardin 1969. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bursaspor64%fair 1.55 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.60
Mardin 196913%fair 7.80 · @4.80
2.31Expected goals
1.71Bursaspor xG
0.60Mardin 1969 xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Bursaspor 1.7 – 0.6 Mardin 1969 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bursaspor to win✗
64%
1.55
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Bursaspor or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Bursaspor ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.90
–
Form
Bursaspor – last 6
WDWWWL
19 Sep
@ Batman Petrolspor
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Esenler Erokspor
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Manisa F.K.
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs İstanbulspor
4–0
W
29 Aug
@ Kayserispor
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mardin 1969 – last 6
LLWDDW
20 Sep
vs Kayserispor
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Bodrum FK
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Boluspor
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bursaspor and Mardin 1969.
What is the prediction for Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our pick is Bursaspor to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969?
On our numbers Bursaspor have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mardin 1969 13%.
How many goals will there be in Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our predicted score is Bursaspor 1–0 Mardin 1969, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969?
Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969 (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
