Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMardin 1969 to win ✗66% · @1.55
Double chanceMardin 1969 or draw ✓91% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.74
Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees Mardin 1969 take on Vanspor FK on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Mardin 1969 are 4th with 25 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Vanspor FK sit 14th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mardin 1969's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Boluspor 3–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vanspor FK's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat İstanbulspor 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Mardin 1969 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Mardin 1969 and 0.7 for Vanspor FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mardin 1969 66%, draw 25%, Vanspor FK 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mardin 1969 to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mardin 1969 2–0 Vanspor FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mardin 196966%fair 1.51 · @1.55
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.75
Vanspor FK9%fair 10.94 · @5.80
2.83Expected goals
2.09Mardin 1969 xG
0.74Vanspor FK xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Mardin 1969 2.1 – 0.7 Vanspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mardin 1969 to win✗
66%
1.51
1.55
Double chance
Mardin 1969 or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Mardin 1969 ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mardin 1969 / FT Mardin 1969✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.74
–
Form
Mardin 1969 – last 6
WWDDWW
23 Aug
@ Boluspor
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Antalyaspor
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ümraniyespor
0–0
D
30 Apr
@ Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Güzide Gebzespor
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vanspor FK – last 6
WLLLLW
23 Aug
vs İstanbulspor
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Manisa F.K.
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Kayserispor
0–2
L
1 May
@ Hatayspor
1–3
L
25 Apr
vs İstanbulspor
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Ümraniyespor
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mardin 1969 and Vanspor FK.
What is the prediction for Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK?
Our pick is Mardin 1969 to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK?
On our numbers Mardin 1969 have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vanspor FK 9%.
How many goals will there be in Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK?
Our predicted score is Mardin 1969 2–0 Vanspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK?
Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
