İstanbulspor vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Fatih Karagümrük to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFatih Karagümrük to win ✗48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.95
İstanbulspor vs Fatih Karagümrük preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees İstanbulspor take on Fatih Karagümrük on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). İstanbulspor are 19th with 8 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Fatih Karagümrük sit 9th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
İstanbulspor's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Vanspor FK 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Fatih Karagümrük's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Bursaspor 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for İstanbulspor and 1.9 for Fatih Karagümrük. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: İstanbulspor 31%, draw 22%, Fatih Karagümrük 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Fatih Karagümrük to win at 2.25 – 48% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: İstanbulspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
İstanbulspor31%fair 3.26 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Fatih Karagümrük48%fair 2.10 · @2.25
3.33Expected goals
1.46İstanbulspor xG
1.87Fatih Karagümrük xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: İstanbulspor 1.5 – 1.9 Fatih Karagümrük expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fatih Karagümrük to win✗
48%
2.10
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fatih Karagümrük / FT Fatih Karagümrük✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.95
–
Form
İstanbulspor – last 6
LDLWWW
23 Aug
@ Vanspor FK
2–3
L
15 Aug
vs Bodrum FK
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Bandırmaspor
0–3
L
1 May
vs Adana Demirspor
8–1
W
25 Apr
@ Vanspor FK
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Sarıyer
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
WWLDLW
21 Aug
vs Bursaspor
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Ümraniyespor
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Iğdır FK
0–2
L
27 Apr
@ Beşiktaş
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ Konyaspor
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Rizespor
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between İstanbulspor and Fatih Karagümrük.
What is the prediction for İstanbulspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win İstanbulspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
On our numbers İstanbulspor have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fatih Karagümrük 48%.
How many goals will there be in İstanbulspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for İstanbulspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our predicted score is İstanbulspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is İstanbulspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
İstanbulspor vs Fatih Karagümrük (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
