Value bet: Antalyaspor to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAntalyaspor to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceAntalyaspor or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.26
Antalyaspor vs Keçiörengücü preview and prediction
The match
Keçiörengücü travel to Corendon Airlines Park in the 1. Lig on Saturday 8 August (19:30 WAT) to face Antalyaspor. Antalyaspor are 8th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Keçiörengücü sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Antalyaspor's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Kocaelispor 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Keçiörengücü's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Çorum FK 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Antalyaspor and 0.8 for Keçiörengücü. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Antalyaspor to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Antalyaspor 2–0 Keçiörengücü. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Antalyaspor64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.60
Keçiörengücü17%fair 6.01 · @3.75
2.77Expected goals
1.94Antalyaspor xG
0.84Keçiörengücü xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Antalyaspor 1.9 – 0.8 Keçiörengücü expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antalyaspor to win✓
64%
1.55
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Antalyaspor or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Antalyaspor ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antalyaspor / FT Antalyaspor✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.26
–
Form
Antalyaspor – last 6
WLLWDL
17 May
vs Kocaelispor
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Konyaspor
0–2
L
10 Apr
@ Beşiktaş
2–4
L
5 Apr
vs Eyüpspor
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Başakşehir
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Gaziantep FK
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Keçiörengücü – last 6
LWLWWL
7 May
@ Çorum FK
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Manisa F.K.
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Esenler Erokspor
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Iğdır FK
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Vanspor FK
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sarıyer
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antalyaspor and Keçiörengücü.
What is the prediction for Antalyaspor vs Keçiörengücü?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Antalyaspor vs Keçiörengücü?
On our numbers Antalyaspor have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Keçiörengücü 17%.
How many goals will there be in Antalyaspor vs Keçiörengücü?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antalyaspor vs Keçiörengücü?
Our predicted score is Antalyaspor 2–0 Keçiörengücü, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Antalyaspor vs Keçiörengücü?
Antalyaspor vs Keçiörengücü (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Corendon Airlines Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
