Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Sutton Utd or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Sutton Utd to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSutton Utd to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceSutton Utd or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees Sutton Utd take on Aldershot Town on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at VBS Community Stadium. Sutton Utd are 11th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Aldershot Town sit 14th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sutton Utd's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Harrogate Town 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Aldershot Town's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Wealdstone 0–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Aldershot Town 2–2 Sutton Utd.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Sutton Utd and 0.8 for Aldershot Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sutton Utd 60%, draw 23%, Aldershot Town 17%.
Safer route: Sutton Utd or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Sutton Utd to win at 1.83 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sutton Utd or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sutton Utd 1–0 Aldershot Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sutton Utd60%fair 1.67 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
Aldershot Town17%fair 5.84 · @3.80
2.54Expected goals
1.74Sutton Utd xG
0.80Aldershot Town xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sutton Utd 1.7 – 0.8 Aldershot Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
Our pick is Sutton Utd or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
On our numbers Sutton Utd have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aldershot Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
Our predicted score is Sutton Utd 1–0 Aldershot Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town (National League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at VBS Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
