Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Harrogate Town to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarlisle to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Carlisle vs Harrogate Town preview and prediction
The match
Carlisle host Harrogate Town in the National League on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Brunton Park. Carlisle are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Harrogate Town sit 2nd on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Carlisle's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Solihull Moors 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Harrogate Town's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Sutton Utd 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Harrogate Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for Carlisle and 1.6 for Harrogate Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carlisle 42%, draw 23%, Harrogate Town 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Harrogate Town to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Carlisle 1–1 Harrogate Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carlisle42%fair 2.36 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
Harrogate Town35%fair 2.86 · @3.30
3.43Expected goals
1.80Carlisle xG
1.63Harrogate Town xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: Carlisle 1.8 – 1.6 Harrogate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✓
42%
2.36
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✓
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.66
–
Form
Carlisle – last 6
WWDWWL
24 Oct
@ Solihull Moors
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Tamworth
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Kidderminster Harriers
0–0
D
3 Oct
@ Aldershot Town
3–1
W
29 Sep
@ AFC Fylde
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Woking
2–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Harrogate Town – last 6
WWDWWW
24 Oct
vs Sutton Utd
3–1
W
20 Oct
vs Bury
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ Bury
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Woking
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs AFC Hornchurch
3–0
W
29 Sep
@ Hartlepool
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carlisle and Harrogate Town.
What is the prediction for Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
On our numbers Carlisle have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Harrogate Town 35%.
How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
Our predicted score is Carlisle 1–1 Harrogate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
Carlisle vs Harrogate Town (National League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
