Altrincham vs Aldershot Town prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Altrincham or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Altrincham to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAltrincham to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceAltrincham or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.81
Altrincham vs Aldershot Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees Altrincham take on Aldershot Town on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Moss Lane. Altrincham are 7th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Aldershot Town sit 14th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Altrincham's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Boreham Wood 1–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Aldershot Town's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Carlisle 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Altrincham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Altrincham and 0.8 for Aldershot Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Altrincham 64%, draw 22%, Aldershot Town 14%.
Safer route: Altrincham or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Altrincham to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Altrincham or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Altrincham 1–0 Aldershot Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Altrincham64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.50
Aldershot Town14%fair 6.98 · @3.70
2.71Expected goals
1.92Altrincham xG
0.79Aldershot Town xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Altrincham 1.9 – 0.8 Aldershot Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Altrincham to win✓
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Altrincham or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Altrincham ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Altrincham / FT Altrincham✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.81
–
Form
Altrincham – last 6
LWWWWL
3 Oct
@ Boreham Wood
1–3
L
29 Sep
@ Gateshead
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs AFC Hornchurch
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ AFC Fylde
2–1
W
16 Sep
vs Hartlepool
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Woking
1–5
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aldershot Town – last 6
LLWLDW
3 Oct
vs Carlisle
1–3
L
29 Sep
@ AFC Hornchurch
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Tamworth
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ Barrow
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Yeovil Town
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altrincham and Aldershot Town.
What is the prediction for Altrincham vs Aldershot Town?
Our pick is Altrincham or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Altrincham vs Aldershot Town?
On our numbers Altrincham have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aldershot Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Altrincham vs Aldershot Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Altrincham vs Aldershot Town?
Our predicted score is Altrincham 1–0 Aldershot Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Altrincham vs Aldershot Town?
Altrincham vs Aldershot Town (National League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Moss Lane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
