National League · England · Jakemans Community StadiumBoston United vs Southend prediction & analysis
Southend to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Boston United 1.1 – 2.3 Southend expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Southend travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 20% for Boston United.
Boston United have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2 per game. Southend have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.8 scored and 1.7 conceded. Southend come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.1 for Boston United, 2.3 for Southend). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).
Our pick is Southend to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Southend to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Half-time result | Southend ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Southend / FT Southend ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✓ | 10% | 10.32 | – |
Form
Boston United – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Yeovil Town | 0–6 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ FC Halifax Town | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs AFC Fylde | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Forest Green | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Woking | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Wealdstone | 1–3 | L |
Southend – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs AFC Fylde | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | @ Eastleigh | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Barrow | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Gateshead | 6–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Tamworth | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Carlisle | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boston United and Southend.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Boston United vs Southend?
Our pick is Southend to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Boston United vs Southend?
On our numbers Boston United have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Southend 65%.
How many goals will there be in Boston United vs Southend?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Boston United vs Southend?
Boston United vs Southend (National League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Jakemans Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.