Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTamworth to win ✓40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25
Tamworth vs Sutton Utd preview and prediction
The match
Tamworth host Sutton Utd in the National League on Wednesday 30 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at The Lamb Ground. Tamworth are 20th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Sutton Utd sit 11th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Tamworth's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Aldershot Town 1–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Sutton Utd's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Forest Green 3–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.8 for Tamworth and 1.7 for Sutton Utd. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tamworth 1–1 Sutton Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tamworth40%fair 2.52 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Sutton Utd37%fair 2.68 · @2.80
3.55Expected goals
1.80Tamworth xG
1.75Sutton Utd xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Tamworth 1.8 – 1.7 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tamworth to win✓
40%
2.52
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tamworth / FT Tamworth✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.25
–
Form
Tamworth – last 6
LWLLLD
26 Sep
@ Aldershot Town
1–5
L
19 Sep
vs Wealdstone
2–1
W
15 Sep
@ Southend
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Harrogate Town
1–3
L
9 Sep
vs Middlesbrough U21
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Boston United
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sutton Utd – last 6
DDWLDL
26 Sep
vs Forest Green
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ FC Halifax Town
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Eastleigh
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Scunthorpe
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Birmingham City U21
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Barrow
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tamworth and Sutton Utd.
What is the prediction for Tamworth vs Sutton Utd?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Tamworth vs Sutton Utd?
On our numbers Tamworth have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sutton Utd 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tamworth vs Sutton Utd?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tamworth vs Sutton Utd?
Our predicted score is Tamworth 1–1 Sutton Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Tamworth vs Sutton Utd?
Tamworth vs Sutton Utd (National League) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Lamb Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
