Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Southend to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouthend to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceSouthend or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Eastleigh vs Southend preview and prediction
The match
Eastleigh host Southend in the National League on Wednesday 30 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Silverlake Stadium. Eastleigh are 17th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Southend sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Eastleigh's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Harrogate Town 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Southend's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Barrow 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Southend arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for Eastleigh and 2.2 for Southend. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Southend to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Southend or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Eastleigh 1–2 Southend. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eastleigh18%fair 5.69 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.75
Southend61%fair 1.65 · @1.75
3.35Expected goals
1.14Eastleigh xG
2.21Southend xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Eastleigh 1.1 – 2.2 Southend expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✗
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Southend or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Southend ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Eastleigh – last 6
LWLDLD
26 Sep
@ Harrogate Town
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Carlisle
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Sutton Utd
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Boreham Wood
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Altrincham
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Aldershot Town
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Southend – last 6
LWWDWD
26 Sep
vs Barrow
2–4
L
19 Sep
@ Gateshead
6–1
W
15 Sep
vs Tamworth
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Carlisle
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Yeovil Town
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Woking
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eastleigh and Southend.
Our pick is Southend or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Eastleigh vs Southend?
On our numbers Eastleigh have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Southend 61%.
How many goals will there be in Eastleigh vs Southend?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eastleigh vs Southend?
Our predicted score is Eastleigh 1–2 Southend, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Eastleigh vs Southend?
Eastleigh vs Southend (National League) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Silverlake Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
