Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Carlisle to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarlisle to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceCarlisle or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Yeovil Town vs Carlisle preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees Yeovil Town take on Carlisle on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Huish Park. Yeovil Town are 5th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Carlisle sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Yeovil Town's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Scunthorpe 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Carlisle's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Worthing 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Carlisle 3–0 Yeovil Town.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Yeovil Town and 2.2 for Carlisle. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yeovil Town 14%, draw 22%, Carlisle 63%.
Safer route: Carlisle or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Carlisle to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Carlisle or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yeovil Town 0–2 Carlisle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yeovil Town14%fair 6.93 · @3.65
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
Carlisle63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
3.12Expected goals
0.96Yeovil Town xG
2.16Carlisle xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Yeovil Town 1.0 – 2.2 Carlisle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yeovil Town vs Carlisle?
Our pick is Carlisle or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Yeovil Town vs Carlisle?
On our numbers Yeovil Town have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carlisle 63%.
How many goals will there be in Yeovil Town vs Carlisle?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yeovil Town vs Carlisle?
Our predicted score is Yeovil Town 0–2 Carlisle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Yeovil Town vs Carlisle?
Yeovil Town vs Carlisle (National League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Huish Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
