Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHartlepool to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.86
Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool preview and prediction
The match
Hartlepool travel to EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground in the National League on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT) to face Aldershot Town. Aldershot Town are 14th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Hartlepool sit 21st on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Aldershot Town's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Boston United 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hartlepool's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Middlesbrough U21 0–10 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Aldershot Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Aldershot Town and 1.2 for Hartlepool. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 54% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aldershot Town 35%, draw 22%, Hartlepool 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.05 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.34, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aldershot Town 1–1 Hartlepool. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aldershot Town35%fair 2.84 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.55
Hartlepool42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
2.18Expected goals
1.02Aldershot Town xG
1.16Hartlepool xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Aldershot Town 1.0 – 1.2 Hartlepool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✓
42%
2.36
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.86
–
Form
Aldershot Town – last 6
WWWLWW
8 Aug
@ Boston United
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Braintree
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Hanwell Town
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs Oxford United
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs Farnborough
2–1
W
15 Jul
vs Portsmouth
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hartlepool – last 6
LWWLWW
11 Aug
vs Middlesbrough U21
0–10
L
8 Aug
vs Barrow
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Grimsby
0–3
L
21 Jul
@ Hebburn Town
3–2
W
18 Jul
@ Spennymoor Town
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aldershot Town and Hartlepool.
What is the prediction for Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool?
On our numbers Aldershot Town have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hartlepool 42%.
How many goals will there be in Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool?
Our predicted score is Aldershot Town 1–1 Hartlepool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool?
Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool (National League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
