The National League sees Hartlepool take on Barrow on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Victoria Park. Hartlepool are 21st with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Barrow sit 9th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Hartlepool's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Fleetwood Town 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Barrow's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Morecambe 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Hartlepool and 1.3 for Barrow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hartlepool 1–1 Barrow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartlepool42%fair 2.38 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
Barrow35%fair 2.84 · @2.88
2.77Expected goals
1.46Hartlepool xG
1.31Barrow xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.5 – 1.3 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✓
42%
2.38
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.96
–
Form
Hartlepool – last 6
WLWWWW
1 Aug
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Grimsby
0–3
L
21 Jul
@ Hebburn Town
3–2
W
18 Jul
@ Spennymoor Town
2–1
W
14 Jul
@ Redcar Athletic
4–2
W
21 Apr
vs Southend
4–3
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Barrow – last 6
WWDWWW
1 Aug
@ Morecambe
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Blackpool
2–0
W
21 Jul
@ Radcliffe
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Mansfield Town
4–3
W
11 Jul
vs Workington
2–0
W
14 Apr
vs Oldham
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Barrow.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Barrow?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barrow 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Barrow?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Barrow?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–1 Barrow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Barrow?
Hartlepool vs Barrow (National League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
