Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarlisle to win ✗63% · @1.53
Double chanceCarlisle or draw ✗86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.23
Carlisle vs Worthing preview and prediction
The match
Carlisle host Worthing in the National League on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Brunton Park. Carlisle are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Worthing sit 6th on 28 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Carlisle's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Derby County U21 3–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Worthing's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Horsham 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Worthing arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Carlisle and 0.9 for Worthing. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Carlisle 2–0 Worthing. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carlisle63%fair 1.59 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.10
Worthing14%fair 7.02 · @5.10
3.00Expected goals
2.08Carlisle xG
0.91Worthing xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Carlisle 2.1 – 0.9 Worthing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Double chance
Carlisle or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.45
Half-time result
Carlisle ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✗
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.23
–
Form
Carlisle – last 6
WLWDDD
1 Aug
@ Derby County U21
3–0
W
28 Jul
vs Salford City
0–2
L
21 Jul
@ Darlington 1883
4–2
W
3 May
vs Boreham Wood
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Morecambe
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Gateshead
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Worthing – last 6
WDWDDW
1 Aug
vs Horsham
3–0
W
24 Jul
@ Enfield Town
1–1
D
21 Jul
vs Queens Park Rangers U21
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Frome Town
1–1
D
10 Jul
@ AFC Bournemouth U21
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Selsey
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carlisle and Worthing.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Carlisle vs Worthing?
On our numbers Carlisle have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Worthing 14%.
How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Worthing?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Worthing?
Our predicted score is Carlisle 2–0 Worthing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Carlisle vs Worthing?
Carlisle vs Worthing (National League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
