Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuxerre to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Auxerre vs Estac Troyes preview and prediction
The match
Estac Troyes travel to face Auxerre in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 8 August (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Auxerre's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Sochaux 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Estac Troyes's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Grenoble 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Estac Troyes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Auxerre and 1.6 for Estac Troyes. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Auxerre 1–1 Estac Troyes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auxerre42%fair 2.37 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Estac Troyes35%fair 2.84 · @3.00
3.29Expected goals
1.73Auxerre xG
1.56Estac Troyes xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Auxerre 1.7 – 1.6 Estac Troyes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auxerre to win✗
42%
2.37
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auxerre / FT Auxerre✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Form
Auxerre – last 6
DLWWDD
1 Aug
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Orleans
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs St Maur Lusitanos
5–2
W
17 May
@ Lille
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Monaco
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Le Havre
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estac Troyes – last 6
WWWLDW
25 Jul
@ Grenoble
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Nancy
3–1
W
13 Apr
@ Rodez
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Montpellier
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ Annecy
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Estac Troyes.
What is the prediction for Auxerre vs Estac Troyes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Auxerre vs Estac Troyes?
On our numbers Auxerre have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estac Troyes 35%.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Estac Troyes?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Estac Troyes?
Our predicted score is Auxerre 1–1 Estac Troyes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Auxerre vs Estac Troyes?
Auxerre vs Estac Troyes (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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