Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Kocaelispor to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKocaelispor to win ✗41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Kocaelispor vs Göztepe preview and prediction
The match
Kocaelispor host Göztepe in the Süper Lig on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Turka Araç Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu. Kocaelispor are 7th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Göztepe sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Kocaelispor's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Beşiktaş 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Göztepe's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Eyüpspor 4–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Kocaelispor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Kocaelispor and 1.5 for Göztepe. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 63%.
Value angle: Kocaelispor to win at 2.80 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kocaelispor 1–1 Göztepe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kocaelispor41%fair 2.47 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Göztepe36%fair 2.75 · @2.30
3.14Expected goals
1.62Kocaelispor xG
1.52Göztepe xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Kocaelispor 1.6 – 1.5 Göztepe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kocaelispor to win✗
41%
2.47
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kocaelispor / FT Kocaelispor✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.60
–
Form
Kocaelispor – last 6
LWLWWW
11 Oct
@ Beşiktaş
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Gaziantep FK
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Galatasaray
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Samsunspor
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Konyaspor
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Amed
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Göztepe – last 6
WDDLLL
12 Oct
@ Eyüpspor
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Rizespor
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Alanyaspor
2–2
D
7 Sep
vs Gaziantep FK
2–4
L
29 Aug
@ Galatasaray
2–3
L
23 Aug
vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kocaelispor and Göztepe.
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
On our numbers Kocaelispor have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Göztepe 36%.
How many goals will there be in Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
Our predicted score is Kocaelispor 1–1 Göztepe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
Kocaelispor vs Göztepe (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Turka Araç Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
