Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
1
Value bet: Kasımpaşa to win @ 2.45 – our chance 43% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKasımpaşa to win ✓43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.89
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Kasımpaşa take on Samsunspor on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium. Kasımpaşa are 5th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Samsunspor sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kasımpaşa's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Galatasaray 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Samsunspor's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Trabzonspor 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Kasımpaşa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Kasımpaşa 3–0 Samsunspor.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Kasımpaşa and 1.2 for Samsunspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Kasımpaşa to win at 2.45 – 43% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kasımpaşa 1–1 Samsunspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kasımpaşa43%fair 2.30 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.20
Samsunspor34%fair 2.90 · @2.75
2.64Expected goals
1.42Kasımpaşa xG
1.22Samsunspor xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Kasımpaşa 1.4 – 1.2 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Kasımpaşa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Samsunspor 34%.
How many goals will there be in Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Kasımpaşa 1–1 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
