Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Samsunspor to win @ 2.62 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSamsunspor to win ✗45% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.01
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor preview and prediction
The match
Samsunspor travel to Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu in the Süper Lig on Sunday 20 September (15:00 WAT) to face Erzurumspor FK. Erzurumspor FK are 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Samsunspor sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Erzurumspor FK's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Beşiktaş 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Samsunspor's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Çorum FK 1–5 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Erzurumspor FK and 1.6 for Samsunspor. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Erzurumspor FK 33%, draw 22%, Samsunspor 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Samsunspor to win at 2.62 – 45% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Erzurumspor FK 1–1 Samsunspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Erzurumspor FK33%fair 3.03 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Samsunspor45%fair 2.23 · @2.62
3.00Expected goals
1.37Erzurumspor FK xG
1.63Samsunspor xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Erzurumspor FK 1.4 – 1.6 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Samsunspor to win✗
45%
2.23
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Samsunspor / FT Samsunspor✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.01
–
Form
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
LWDLLD
11 Sep
@ Beşiktaş
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Konyaspor
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Galatasaray
0–4
L
16 Aug
@ Amed
0–3
L
17 Jul
vs Rizespor
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Samsunspor – last 6
LLLWDL
12 Sep
vs Çorum FK
1–5
L
6 Sep
@ Kocaelispor
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Rizespor
2–0
W
17 Aug
vs Göztepe
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Kasımpaşa
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzurumspor FK and Samsunspor.
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Erzurumspor FK have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Samsunspor 45%.
How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Erzurumspor FK 1–1 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor?
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
